BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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St Thomas MN
Class: 1B Class Rank: 117 Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 95.13
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (5-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (5-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2024 Home L 82.86 13 34 2 13 ( 8- 3) Sioux Falls -12.27 6.54 -8.73
2 09/07/2024 Home L * 102.24 10 17 1B 75 ( 3- 9) Northern Iowa 7.11 -29.55 -14.11
3 09/14/2024 Home W 92.89 24 14 2 105 ( 6- 5) Black Hills St -2.25 -6.08 12.25
4 09/21/2024 Away L * 53.39 0 64 1B 57 ( 5- 7) Lindenwood -41.74 -1.78 -22.26
5 10/05/2024 Home W * * 84.33 34 24 1B 129 ( 2- 9) Stetson -10.80 -2.11 20.80
6 10/12/2024 Away W * * 89.23 39 32 1B 127 ( 1-10) Marist -5.90 -1.43 12.90
7 10/19/2024 Away W * * 117.92 42 14 1B 125 ( 4- 7) Valparaiso 22.79 -8.58 5.21
8 10/26/2024 Home W * * 125.71 34 14 1B 77 ( 8- 3) San Diego 30.58 -22.15 -10.58
9 11/02/2024 Away L * * 80.27 7 21 1B 119 ( 7- 5) Morehead St -14.86 -0.89 0.86
10 11/09/2024 Home L * * 101.94 19 22 1B 78 ( 8- 3) Drake 6.81 -15.90 -9.81
11 11/16/2024 Away L * * 93.57 20 36 1B 90 ( 9- 3) Butler -1.56 -16.07 -14.44
12 11/23/2024 Home W * * 117.23 32 9 1B 115 ( 6- 5) Dayton 22.10 -3.47 0.90
Averages 95.13 22.8 25.1
Best game: 125.71 = 20 point win over San Diego
Worst game: 53.39 = 64 point loss to Lindenwood
Team stdev: 19.80